@shoveandsee

It was pretty expensive for an ebook, about $50 USD (he charged in pounds). He's been working on it for over a year, I knew it was gonna be good. I can get you in touch with him if you want it, he just released it last week and the kindle version is going to be on Amazon soon.

I'm interested but I'm reading some stuff now I need to finish and work through for online. Plus I will be making some trips probably around May/June so I"m ordering books right now that are for live play.

Definitely let us know about the book though-here in the thread.

I think I know what book you're talking about! I was thinking about purchasing it also... I'd prefer a hard copy though I hope he brings one out eventually! Interested to hear what you think of it

Ya I really want to hitup playground casino, its about an 8 hour drive. I may plan a trip there sometime in the near future. It's carroters from Grind School. When I first started learning I listened the podcast all the time.

Here's the final graph for March. Continued to run well the last few days. Bankroll is close to being ready for 25NL. I may give it a 5BI shot soon but also thinking it may be best to get more volume in at 10NL.

April will be an interesting month because I'll be travelling for two weeks to Florida for work. I'll probably only get in 40k hands throughout the month as I won't be able to play in the states. It's a good opportunity to read the new manual and study more technical game.

Goal: By June 31st 25NL Reg

Villian is Unknown, I have 2 hands with him.

Pre: Villian limps the BTN and I ISO in SB.

Flop: I'm usually taking this down with a cbet most of the time, other than being up against a fish. He did limp the button so I assume he is. When he calls my thoughts on his range are pocket pairs, flush draws, 10x and maybe some Ax as well.

Turn: I think the bet is good, sizing is a bit bigger than usual.

River: Can we bet this? In game thought process was to check call. It's just a really dry board where I don't think I'm getting called very often by worse after the line I took. A lot of fish bluff river when checked to, especially if they miss or even a weak Ace may bet.

He shoves and it's obviously very polarizing. I don't think he would shove a bluff here, he probably has a 3 FH, or maybe even 2 pair. 

This is such a strange line and I almost feel I have seen it before. I know someone who will be interested in reply to it: @CrazyCookie .....this is right up his street!

Haha the river 2x shove makes no sense to be a bluff ever here.

Flop I can x/c here but betting is fine. Once called I'm only continuing on tp/q/k. We make TP so do continue and river I bet about 60% pot and if he shoves I fold. Don't expect him to be bluff shoving.

Thanks @CrazyCookie and @Jon-PokerVIP

Yea really weird line, but I agree I should bet river. My radar was going off in game so I checked. First few days of April at the tables has been a little rough. I actually tilted for the first time in a while so I didn't put in the volume I normally would on a weekend. NCAA March Madness basketball was on, I decided to watch that instead.

Tonight i'll grind a 1500-3000 hands and focus on keeping my mental game in check.

Some serious grinding here. Subscribed! Good luck at the tables.

Unlucky on the bad ending of that session however with your work ethic I think you will book way more winning sessions and these things will just be a small bump on the road! GL

Another interesting session last night. I did keep my mental game in check but at times couldn't believe some of the shit happening to me. I don't think that affected my play, I can confidentially say I played the best I could.

A few nights ago when I was tilting I played a $2.75 deep stacked $1k GTD to change it up. I was in 3rd place and flopped top set with KK against the chip leader. He check shoved me with a flush draw and hit on the turn. I finished 13th which was kind of disappointing as I thought I would final table for sure. I'm not very experienced playing MTTs so didn't factor the ICM part.

Got my wisdom teeth out yesterday so I had the day off from work and was able to put in some good volume.

I'll be travelling next week so I want to play as much as possible until I leave. This is the past 2 days:

nice graphs...keep up the good work!!

Keep in mind with AIEV the numbers will never match... The money in the pot before the all in means that your AIEV + Villians AIEV is less than 100% therefore EV lines should always be below winrates.

Example: Two players are 50/50 to win a hand. There is $10 in the middle, both put in $45 making a pot of $100. Both EV's are $50 for a cost of $45. If we run this 10 times and each player wins 5 the winnings will be $0 but the AIEV line for both players will be -$50 (cost of $45 with EV of $50 so +ev $5 * 10 runs means EV should be +$50 ... if you break even then AIEV is -$50.). This is important to understand to avoid a sense of depression. This is also on the assumption that the pot is not raked, they are heads up, and therefore both contributed $5 pre to make the pot $10. This is my understanding of how it works and I am happy to be shown this is wrong.

Depression = expectation - reality. If expectation < reality then we experience happiness (depression becomes a negative and a double negative in maths makes a positive if with think of depression as a negative number on a scale of mental states). So when looking at AIEV lines we can be confronted by a misunderstanding of the number to feel like we have lost all this money (expectation) when we never actually had it (reality), so it can lead to a sense of loss and depression that is artificially constructed. We make ourselves sad for something we never had that was never ours.

This is a fairly crucial mental hurdle to overcome for anyone who plays poker long term. You have to understand this in a way where losses produce a minimal psychological sense of non-constructive loss (if a loss motivates us to play better / focus more / study and improve the loss is constructive). Our natural state is not such that we are constructed to be able to deal with the kinds of mental battery poker will put us through. Most successful pros will have some mechanism for detaching themselves from loss, and it is something that has to happen to preserve our sanity. This is in part tied into the idea that we respond stronger to loss than we do to gain as part of a learning motivator. This is why we can have a session where we are up, we lose a moderate pot, are still up, but cash out tilted. The net psychological effect of loss versus gain has left us with a sense of loss in spite of having a factual gain because we respond stronger to loss than to gain. For example if we respond to a loss 3x as strong to a gain then winning $30 equates to the same sense of loss derived from losing $10.

I will end the rant there lol and back to AIEV, we can use AIEV as a rough indicator for how we are running during a session but it will only really be a rough indicator.

Hope this helps.

Josh.

@Joshk81

Huge shout out to Josh. Thanks for an awesome post and great perspective on AIEV. I have heard from other coaches as well similar things. It's just one form of variance and I think it's widely mistaken across many poker players as to what it truly is and means.

I really appreciate the sweat session last night, thanks for taking your time to share your thought process.

You are welcome mate I enjoy the discussion. Skype me if there is more you would like to discuss.

Saturday and Sunday sessions were okay. Already played 28k hands this month, I'll be taking off to Florida on Wednesday and then no poker for at least 10-12 days. I reviewed a video of myself playing today and found some really good spots I'm going to work on

Florida holiday?

That's some serious grinding man, good luck and see you at the tables!

@HATERS_1337 Thanks man, you too!

@Jon-PokerVIP I'll be working most of the time i'm there unfortunately but I'll still have time to chill and relax. I work for a digital marketing company so most of my work is from home but every few months I travel out to Florida where the company is located.