Sooo, I am through. That is already a lot of content you could argue about for hours haha
Can't make a statement at every single post but what I can say by now is:
I truly admire your work ethics and that huge effort you put into your work, kudos! I only wish I would be that disciplined. Your work makes my stuff I do to develop look like shit. And I always thought I am doing pretty good when I analyze spots lol. Anyways, I promise to improve
I think your approach is pretty much the nuts. Putting in so much work just CAN'T be wrong, and I am sure, when you got that 50nl roll, you will definitley crush!
Ok, now some content ( I try my best to not talk nonsense
)
On dry-ish kind of textures, like A72r, Q46r, K33r... we can have to different kind of approaches:
One is to bet quite large with nutted hands and strong hands, plus bluffs that have a) back door potential, b) block villains calling range and c) are just not strong enough to check back. We are then checking back weak TPs, mid-Pairs and stuff like this. So generally speaking we are betting big with a polarised range, which makes sense, right? The drawback of this approach is, that we somehow cap both of our ranges, our betting and checking range. But that is not that important, as this is a kind of texture, villain should not attack our capped ranges, as he just can't bet or raise much.
The other approach would be to bet a condensed range with a smaller sizing. This allows us to bet more for thin value.
Example: 99 on A72r. We could check back, if we decided to go for a cBet around 3/4 PS with hands like A7, 22, AK...and 65s BD, K2s BD, J9s BD and so on. Or we bet it around 40% of the pot and go for 2 or 3 streets on most run outs. Then we should bet most Ax, Sets, 2 Pair, Mid Pairs with good Kicker and BD, bottom Pairs with BD and so on.
This is very basic stuff, which works in theory and practice, but it is never wrong to take a closer look. Because in-game, most of us will bet either to much or too little very quickly. We fall into autopilot mode and yeah... end up making lots of mistakes.
It is very hard to know your range, when ranges get super wide, like in BTNvsBlinds scenarios. And I struggle there too. I think there came up at least 10 spots every single session, of my last 20 ones, where I was not sure if I should continue betting or not. I guess I don't have to mention that being fucked up in those spots, increases the potential of making even bigger mistakes on further streets. So as I said, taking a closer look is very necessary.
In practice, imo we should take the first approach against villains, that we consider playing "good" which means they know that they just have to admit autoprofit and have to overfold on those kind of textures.
The second approach, we should use against weaker opponents, that are more sticky, which allows us to go for more thin value.
Against unknown, where we have to assume that they are playing good, which means correctly from a theoretical point of view, we should choose the first approach as well.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowie seems to do so. It suggests the first approach, where we bet big and polarised. I have no clue how it would affect the EV of our range, when we start to check back some of our nuts, just because we don't want to have a capped check back range and we block so many Top Pair Combos. In reality, I guess that could make sense, as an exploit somehow. Imo people just start to bet against missed cBets way too much, so it could be good to check back AA there from time to time, but otherwise I guess our range is protected "enough" cause we still have hands like A6 that did not bet the flop and we definitley want to bet our nuts because we have shitloads of bluffs. It gets pretty interesting, when villain chooses to overbet turn, due to the fact that he wants to take maximum pressure on our weak holdings. I saw people doing that on high stakes, but never on the micros and low stakes, so I guess we can ignore that. But that would be one of the rare situations it could make sense.
Anyways, this post just took me around 2 hrs or so
I typed in some words, read over it, and deleted them again and again. It is late, and my brain is fried now haha. I truly hope some of my thoughts make sense though
Ok, I am looking forward for some more nice posts and can't wait to hear your thoughts!
Good night fellas!