I would usually call as it's a standard bluff card to fire a second barrel on.

Obviously it's good practice to use HUD stats to find spots where we can make exploitative plays away from our usual line here. I'm sure you've come accross plenty of players in your pool that fire too many flop c bets but only barrel rarely on the turn.

Really hard to say with no info. I might be inclined to fold vs. tighter UTG opponents, but I see no problem floating again since we kinda expect them to barrel Ax. It all boils down to the particular (or average if you have no info) player's range from UTG and by default I'd favor floating slightly over folding.

You should check out a program called Equilab (it's free). It has a scenario analyser that evaluates turn and river cards like you're asking if you input your hand and a range for villain.

I plugged your hand in with some super simple assumptions: a tight preflop range and he cbets 100% on the flop which might not be totally accurate but it's a start.




The bars show your equity vs his range on each card.

While the Ax will likely be the most bluffed card, it's also the worst card for you if villain cbets all his Ax hands on the flop. Your equity is slightly better on Kx and Qx and better again on Jx. I'd probably peel one more card but I don't hate a fold if villain is tight.