w34z3l: It seems unlikely that overbetting the flop is correct in theory. Although there is reasonable chance it has a positive expectation. Not likely to be maxEV though.
Anyway, easy bet with the intention of double (probably triple) barreling. Hand is played fine vs raise. Could Jam turn vs over-aggro as komododragon mentions, but probably doesn't apply at these limits.
Why not? Wet maximise fold equity, don't put in money ott because villain had tp so much and get to see the river and realise our equity v top of his range for cheapest price.
Triple barrel is fine but we can also overbet with our nutted value range, sets, two pair and make a normal bet size with hands which have more draw equity than JT or not nutted but can call a raise- KK+ KQ+. Villain can't do much v either size and both ranges are balanced. Although the smaller size is capped we still have a huge ammount of bluff catchers along with hands that have enough equity to call a raise.
It's not a board I bluff ATC on as it hits villains range quite well so I like checking back some nfd and weak paira worse than Qx along with our trash.