Turlock: Pre is marginal, but as it's likely going to be a 4 way pot it can't be terrible, I think I would still fold though.
I'm also leaning towards folding the turn.
@Komododragonjesus Do you not feel the double whammy of being OOP and villain's range being heavily weighted towards decent Ax combos due to his player type, position, plus c betting multiway, makes this at least marginal rather than clear?
Well we need ~31% equity here. Against a reasonably tight range we probably have 25-35% so at minimum it's close. Then add on implied odds from when we can x/c the river and I think it should be a decent spot.
It's also a spot where if hero x/r sets and 2 pair on the flop then TP+NFD will likely be near the very top of range and folding such a hand should mean we need to fold flop. That's a completely different argument and not super relevant at these stakes but it's something I think about.