PLO50 KK75

Posted 7 years ago

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$0.25/$0.50 Pot Limit Omaha Hi Prima
6 Players

Blinds$0.25/$0.506
UTG bruce1 $79.48
UTG+1 mommasonmylips $25
CO Muumio $50
DHero $50
SB fire_and_forget $55.20
BB tralalalala1 $15
Preflop
6$1.25Hero is BTNK5K7
[mommasonmylips posts $0.50]
1 fold, mommasonmylips checks, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.25, fire_and_forget raises to $7.50, 1 fold, mommasonmylips folds, Hero calls$5.50
Flop
2$16.50K44
fire_and_forget bets $6.50, Hero calls$6.50
Turn
2$29.50A
fire_and_forget bets $10
Final Pot$39.50


His 3bet is 6% and 4bet is 0% over 300hands. Do we go broke here every time?
Kyyberi

Last Post 7 years ago by

Kyyberi

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Posted 7 years ago
This is a 3bet pot button vs SB right? even with 6% this is gonna be an easy call down, this is the perfect spot for him to go for a 3 barrel bluff. Never folding
Posted 7 years ago
Agree with previous! You are seeing ghost if you are afraid here Smile

Also. Would be quite bad if we only continue with quads Cheeky
Posted 7 years ago*
From memory I think a 3.5% 3b is pretty much always AAxx. At 6% he can have some other broadway runs. I would call turn call river. If he pots river likely he has AAxx, but I think we just call and hope he has the AKxx. He can have some kind of double suited AK4x combo also but this is very unlikely. I dont see value in raising turn.

Some AQTJds type combos are also possible.
Posted 7 years ago
Aces are 2,5% of all hands. So if someone's range is all AAxx it will be 2,5%. The thing is that even if someone has 2% or 3% 3bet, it doesn't mean it's Aces. 6% from 300h sample size can mean that he has 3bet less than ten times in total. We can't make big assumptions unless you have exact information about the hands. If he has 3bet ten times and you have seen each of those and they are Aces, then there is a likely chance that he has Aces.

On the other hand, if you think his range is Aces I don't think you can call preflop. So as you call, you should think that his range is a lot wider than Aces. Ace on the turn makes them even less likely.