Is this the right hand because you don't have the NFD, and he does not lead.

Damn! you are right wrong hand haha!

Here we go!

Pre flop is standard but post flop I do not think this is optimal. What info do we have on the player? does he play alot of 3bet pots? donk often?

If he is playing a standard range, you narrow his calling range down to the top 15% with the 3bet pre. So he is going to have alot of pocket pairs and
Broadways.

Pre flop we are ahead against this range but with out the player type I could be completely out for example if he is whale playing VPIP of 50 and PFR of 10 over 200 hands then we included alot more hands in the pre flop calling range.




Flop
With the all in all we do is narrow his calling range to hands that have us crushed or, we are left drawing to a club to out draw a flopped flush. What do you think he donk betting with? I prefer a call v his donk and evaluate turn

In my experience if its a reg its normally for value or to induce a raise.

If anything we win the min or lose a huge pot most of the time with an all in.

FE Calculator says that you definitely need to get some folds with the shove for it to be profitable. How many folds is debatable. Comes down to how much EQ you give yourself against his calling range. When I ran it, it ranged anywhere from needing 10% folds all the way up to like 35% folds in worst case scenario where you are only up against JJ and 99.

I just don't think you are ever getting the amount of folds you need regardless of the EQ. I disagree that he will fold sets. He may not even fold top 2p here if he has it. I really don't know for sure, but he showed us he wouldn't fold a set.

At the end of the day it seems like a somewhat marginal shove and even if it is +EV, which I don't think it is, it won't be by much, so just don't think the risk vs reward is there.

Utg, having been 3bet preflop and is oop, isn't messing around when they stright donk out into the 3bettor. This is as you said yourself, a hand that doesn't want you to check back. That's very strong play, why shove into that when we are clearly behind but have some nice outs.
As mentioned above, we won't be getting many folds in this scenario. Sometimes we can generate some folds in some situations but often enough in such a strong played setting.

Preflop is playable but but it's a call flop for me and see how the rng treats me. Also, sometimes we get a chk turn from utg and make our own mind as to taking a free card or not. Free cards are good, we like free cards.

Im sure this is a profitable shove. But so is calling. hard to calculate whats best when we dont know his donking range. For what ever is worth im not jamming im sizing if im gonna raise.

For balance its good for us to have some bluffs that raise and this is like the perfect hand. So if you think he donking a bit weaker i think raising is best.

If you expect very little fold EQ we can just call and take our equity. You can still rep strong hands on the turn and river.