NL10 AQs

Posted 8 years ago

Feels standard to me vs passive fish but with 4 straight on board and a lot of 2 pair chances including all the Aces Up better to bet/fold?

PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

Hero (MP): $10.00
CO: $10.00 (VPIP: 30.77, PFR: 19.23, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 29)
BTN: $11.70 (VPIP: 45.45, PFR: 13.64, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 23)
SB: $11.03 (VPIP: 14.63, PFR: 11.71, 3Bet Preflop: 2.52, Hands: 626)
BB: $15.88 (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 57)
UTG: $10.00 (VPIP: 21.67, PFR: 18.89, 3Bet Preflop: 10.53, Hands: 185)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has Ad Qd
fold, Hero raises to $0.30, fold, BTN calls $0.30, fold, fold

Flop : ($0.75, 2 players) 6d 5h As
Hero bets $0.47, BTN calls $0.47

Turn : ($1.69, 2 players) 4s
Hero bets $1.05, BTN calls $1.05

River : ($3.79, 2 players) 7c
Hero checks, BTN bets $1.81, Hero ?

MattVIP

Last Post 8 years ago by

MattVIP

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Posted 8 years ago
My thoughts about passive fish is when they go chk/c, chk/c, bet, they usually do it for value. I would be very surprised to see a bluff here and every straight in the world just got there. I wouldn't bet/f for similar reasons.

I would chk/f this specific development; I have one pair, nice as it is. I may just chk/c if villain bets some silly little amount but that's about it for me. Smile

Posted 8 years ago
As played I think we can find a fold here given the player type. I'm not sure if I like checking though, as long as passive players call they still hold a lot of hands we can beat. I think I bet river for thin value against worse Ax, and obviously fold if he shows any type of aggresion. Smile
Posted 8 years ago
First of all I don't think we can label the guy a fish yet since it's only a 23 hand sample. Flop and turn are fine IMO.
River I either just x/f or bet $1 and then fold to a raise. I don't think they could raise our bet as a bluff because we could be extracting value with a straight this way too, so if he raises he has it probably, also he could call with worse hands if he turns out to be a weaker player.
Posted 8 years ago
I agree we can't be sure the guy's a fish over that small of a sample. Pre, flop and turn look good. River I would just x/f. I'm tempted to go for the bet tiny / fold to a raise line but I think it might be too thin given there should be several straights, sets and 2-pair in villain's range that have you beat. By checking they will sometimes (or often if they're passive) just check back hands like A6, 65 or 55 which would definitely be a win for you.
Posted 8 years ago
Balls, I went X/C. I think I like B/F more than that definately, X/F I take on board would be better than both.

He had A7 on this occasion.

Posted 8 years ago
Basically x/f > b/f > x/c in this situation. I'd be really tempted to go for the second option even if it's not GTO since vbetting is so important at this limit and we can suspect that villain is, in fact, a recreational player given the large gap between VPIP and PFR even if sample size is really small.