thetallpaul

Pre is standard. Flop I guess like all these I'm posting I should check. Over pairs always a check these days on any sort of connected board?

I bet to target likely fish in CO. Assume the UTG would 4bet AA with so much dead money in there.

When he calls I think TT, 99 is a lot of his range. Maybe T9, maybe some club draws.

On the river when he donks all in I think it makes no sense but have to fold anyway as currently any stacking off on NL10z seems to be the nuts.

BTN: $9.64 (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
SB: $13.38 (VPIP: 10.53, PFR: 10.53, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 19)
BB: $19.58 (VPIP: 19.32, PFR: 15.34, 3Bet Preflop: 9.52, Hands: 180)
UTG: $10.20 (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 14.81, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 54)
Hero (MP): $11.40
CO: $7.58 (VPIP: 66.67, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 3)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has Kh Kc
UTG raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $0.90, CO calls $0.90, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls $0.60

Flop : ($2.85, 3 players) 3c 9d Th
UTG checks, Hero bets $1.35, fold, UTG calls $1.35

Turn : ($5.55, 2 players) 2c
UTG checks, Hero checks

River : ($5.55, 2 players) 9c
UTG bets $7.95 and is all-in,?

Last Post 8 years ago by

w34z3l

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I would definitely be betting flop. T93r is much less dangerous than boards like T98fd where you should strongly consider checking.

When villain calls flop he can have TT, 99 but also stuff like Tx suited, KQs, KJs, QJs, JJ, QQ (maybe). Remember, CO calling gives UTG much better odds so he should be continuing wider than normal. He could also potentially have 33. So there's no reason to assume he's super narrow just yet. Because of this I think you can find a small bet on the turn as well. If he's your typical 10z nitreg then he'll play super transparent and x/r his 2pair+ and call or fold everything else.

River, ugh. I'd snapcall a lot of sizings but might let it go for the shove. Folding a hand like KK probably means you're folding everything and that's undesirable. But is villain really overbet shoving bluffs though? Even if he is he can be bluffing nearly 40% of the time without being exploitable and he'll have a decent amount of full houses to balance those bluffs.

^Good advice. I like flop and turn bet and checking the river, I think we can get 2 streets of value from worse and I'd get them on the flop/turn, by betting the turn we also sometimes stop them donking rivers and leaving us confused.

River for me is a puke fold, don't see a 16/14 (okay small sample) really over bet bluffing here, if they do then WP to them.

I also vote for the bet/bet/check line, especially in position. I think you're giving the villain a bit too much credit for having a strong range just on the basis of one call.

As played I'd be tempted to call it very often, but not vs. tight UTG guy using this sizing.

Can't see a reason for not betting the turn. It also helps us better define our hand in case of a raise. Now we're in a spot where we're trying to guess if villain can ever bet worse over pairs along with some bluffs. Luckily the sizing makes it a trivial fold, but it wouldn't have been so simple with a bet around $3.

Seems like a great turn card. T9x boards are always deceptively drawy. Villain may raise flop with sets/2pair.

I would be overbet jamming turn all day. GG if he has a set.

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