NL50, baby end of straight

Posted 8 years ago

Both villains are regs. Villain who jams is 24/18.
pre / flop / turn standard.
River - I bet small to get called by 2p's and sets, as 2p will find a fold if I go big. CO calls, so that's what he's got most likely, not concerned of him. BTN jams - not sure he ever has Q8s there (I fold Q8s pre in his place), and tbf squeeze KQo with occasional flats with KQs. But his 3bet is very low (TOT 4.6, and 3.4 in BU (1.3k hands)), so I imagine he flats KQ.

I need 21% to call. Does he jams sets, maybe J10 there enough, as I look weak? Do you call?

Hand Conversion Powered by WeakTight Poker Hand History Converter
$0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem 888
6 Players

Blinds$0.25/$0.506
UTG Player4 $60.06
UTG+1Hero $52.52
CO Player7 $91.13
D Player9 $51.38
SB Player1 $61.41
BB Player2 $50
Preflop
6$0.75Hero is UTG+187
1 fold, Hero raises to $1.50, Player7 calls $1.50, Player9 calls $1.50, 2 folds
Flop
3$5.253T9
Hero bets$2.85, Player7 calls $2.85, Player9 calls $2.85
Turn
3$13.80J
Hero bets$8.25, Player7 calls $8.25, Player9 calls $8.25
River
3$38.554
Hero bets$12, Player7 calls $12, Player9 goes all-in $38.78, Hero ???
Archinator

Last Post 8 years ago by

Archinator

9

Posts

1,646

Views

Copy post URL
https://www.pokervip.com/thread/view?forum=poker-strategy&slug=nl50-baby-end-of-straight&nav=56ba1033d39043ba2d8b45ab
0
Posted 8 years ago
bump
Posted 8 years ago
If it was JT, why wouldn't he c/r turn? Or what I mean to say is, if it is JT and he didn't c/r turn, why would he suddenly go all aggro otr? Ditto for sets. Turn is where those hands should get busy. It just seems like a weird spot to turn a made hand into a bluff, since all your overpairs/weak 2p hands will fold and KQ will call. So if it's a made hand-turned bluff, he'd have to be specifically targeting exactly 99/TT/87. And that's pretty thin, esp since he should be blocking some of this himself. So it'd kinda piss me off but I think I find a fold.
Posted 8 years ago
I call, just cause i believe KQ should raise turn?, turn has a lot of draws, there is already a bet and a call, why he wouldnt raise there to get value from 2pairs/sets/draws/combodraws, i would understand if he calls and theres still players after him, but with the given action, i just call.
Posted 8 years ago
I forgot to add, yes i think with your sizing and the other guy just calling, u two look "weak" on that spot.
Posted 8 years ago
I prefer check calling the flop here to pot control mainly.

As played the river is a call. It is not a happy snap but we cannot fold here when villain is repping KQ and turning a gutshot.
Posted 8 years ago
Feels like it could be a call. My reason is on the turn here I believe KQ raises the turn. With flush draw and pair combos out there. Also the price we're getting with about $100 in the pot should be enough. I think some sets want value from 2 pairs and basically plyr 9 knows it's only you who he has to worry about when jamming after 7 calls your lead. I'm not loving it though, but I think it should be an ok call.
Posted 8 years ago
I prefer checking flop also. OOP with just a straight draw isn't great and we can't really barrel much because we won't get a tonne of folds once called.

Ap this is 100% never a bluff. 2pair raises OTT/OTF. Sets also. He doesn't have 44.... I can see him having KQ here way too often.
Posted 8 years ago
Hand seems reasonable. Hard for betting to be bad here, but certainly ok to put some stuff like this in checking-range.

Turn for value is obviously good. River is a snap call vs raise. Good for him if he has the QK and decided not to raise the turn.
Posted 8 years ago
I really like your river sizing.It's something I need to implement into my game. I would snap off the river shove, I don't expect KQ to always peel. Our hand also looks like two pair when we bet small so he can do this with top set or bottom straight.