Kyyberi: I watched 20 minutes of the first video, here are9 some thoughts:
Thanks
Kyyberi: In the second replayed hand with Aces, I would just call his small check-raise. That is very often a smaller set, and if you re-raise he might actually fold it. You can get the money in on turn+river too. If he bets the turn, he is committed. If he checks. you can bet and it's hard for him to fold as it looks a bit bluffy after his check. Of course if you have reads that he isn't folding his set, then just jam it on the flop.
Here I thought he was getting it in and I thought also there might be some turn cards which AT / A5 type combo's are unhappy with. I figured he had something like QJK with pairs, A345 etc. as well as occasionally the TTxx and rarely 55xx... Thinking about it more now maybe I was fortunate that he had the TT34 and got it in.
Kyyberi: https://youtu.be/jyOcDWNmznQ?t=484
On the river I would use slightly smaller sizing instead of standard 3/4. His calling range is mostly made from weak made hands like 2pairs, so betting too big might make him fold too often. This time it worked, but it was really close. You didn't make a note for him, is there are reason why you don't make notes?
I take notes off screen on the replayer generally. I may not have noted this hand. I thought in this spot he likely has some kind of A345, though he did not raise the turn, so more inclined to hands he actually had like the 36Q9 ... I thought 65% pot would be a sizing to get paid on the hand though likely I can see how going smaller here as a general rule given our TT45 blocks a lot of combinations of him having hands can long term be better in terms of yielding a return on our value bets.
Kyyberi: https://youtu.be/jyOcDWNmznQ?t=540
Your Aces completely miss the board as you said, and it is quite hard for your opponents to miss that board completely. I would just check back. I checked with PokerJuice that the shorty hits the board in some way about 65% of times and the other guy around 55%. Not enough folding equity to bet imo. You said that you would stack off against shorty if he raises, and when the other guy raised you said that it's really close and thought for it a bit. You should think that before you bet. Are you bet-folding against his raise or bet-calling. If you are bet-calling, then what is his stack off range? And therefore do you have over 33% against that? To get 33% he needs to raise there are 2pairs+, Ahh and 235,79T wraps. I would assume that he just calls with wraps so that bet-call is oveplaying imo.
Here I stated that I was bet / calling the short stack and bet / folding against the full stack. I called here to illustrate the range of hands he would have to be check shoving here. I did not call thinking I was making a close call that could show a profit.
My reasons here for betting are that the full stack can have a number of hands which have good equity against the hand we have but that would fold to a bet (pair + gutter, pair + side cards etc.), and that if we get shoved on by the full stack our equity was bad anyway so we do not lose a lot of EV by bet folding. Likely this is just a spot where I should be checking back the flop and folding to action. I would prefer to check it back if we had some sort of backdoor ... here I think we just have AAxx.
Kyyberi: https://youtu.be/jyOcDWNmznQ?t=731
You have Kings and face a 3bet. Against shorty (or even against bigger stack) just calling a 3bet isn't a good plan (unless you have some really good reasons for it). You will miss the flop quite often and have to fold or get it in and hope the opponent doesn't have Aces. Either get it in or fold preflop.
I think here these are not great kings and it should likely be a raise / fold to 3b by this opponent. He is short and our implied value for calling and winning his stack is reduced. What would be the tipping point here vs an unknown 3b'er for stack sizes for you to raise/call and raise/4b stack off?
Kyyberi: https://youtu.be/jyOcDWNmznQ?t=858
Once again you select your betsizing on the turn quite automaticly. You didn't say anything about his range, so I would assume that you didn't thought about it. When he quickly called your flop bet, what would you think about his calling range? And against that range, is that 3/4 standard bet sizing the best possible option? Opponent is 35/0/0 (if I looked correctly) so you don't have to think about balancing. And again on the river, you don't explain your betsizing in any way. When betting for value, to get the best possible sizing you need to think about his calling range. The more you bet, the stronger hand he generally needs for calling. What is his range on the river, and what part of that are you trying to get value from? Against that range, is that sizing the best possible option?
Is this the 4667xxhh hand top right?
Kyyberi: https://youtu.be/jyOcDWNmznQ?t=938
You open QQT7ss from UTG. Although it is a top 8% hand with PPT rankings, I wouldn't open mediocre Queens from UTG unless the table is really loose-passive. And you sizing should be pot from UTG. As you use smaller sizing than a pot, the question is why? Why do we in general use different sizings from different positions? How does x2,4 from UTG fit that concept?
Here I am inclined to fold this hand some of the time. I use less than pot as I want to be playing a smaller pot when I am likely playing out of position. If I overset someone getting the money in wont be difficult but I think this hand has a lot of boards where I may need to check fold / bet fold flop / bet flop check fold turn etc. so when this happens by raising smaller pre I reduce the pot size for when this happens. I also am more likely to have the SB/BB come along and be able to play a pot in position against them, and allow them to call with 99xx TTxx 6689 etc. and over set them.
Kyyberi: https://youtu.be/jyOcDWNmznQ?t=990
With flopped nut straight, turn is an interesting one. Did you at any point thought about opponent's range? It is a limped pot, so he should't have AA,KK. He has some pair+gutshot, 2pairs and flush draws. Now when you bet the turn, is that for value or a bluff? Do you want him to call or fold? I really don't know the answer as when you bet he folds weaker made hands (as he really can't call with 2 pairs anymore) and calls/raises better ones (flush). Hard to get value, hard to bluff. I would check-call and get value from his bluffs. If he checks back, then you try to get him to make a hero call on the river.
Here I was thinking to continue as it is hard to get value out of position and I don't have outs against a flush, if I check my hand is face up and I allow him to check back with a lot of 2 pair type hands. Sets are very unlikely; maybe some rag QQxx / KKxx. I think this is an example of me betting as I am unsure what to do and default to the aggressive route.
Kyyberi: Other than those I think you played it well and your thinking process was nice. Right things for right reasons. :)
I feel like a blind man authoritatively describing what he heard another blind man say about the sky ... I am still confused in a lot of spots about what is "right." It is hard to play confidently when there is so much doubt in terms of what is optimal, and sources I would trust for what is optimal. I know some ridiculously spewy players and some super nitty players. I can't take their opinions and incorporate them as we have quite fundamentally different games. I try to focus on improving the thinking behind the actions rather than focusing on the actions themselves... I.E. rather than "play AAXX this way on this board" address the flaws in thinking about the hand that produce the error in actions, which should correct the mistake across all hands rather than that very specific scenario.
I feel a solid PLO game is still a long way off, and the path to take to get there is not clear. I think there is no point playing and repeating mistakes trying to one day correct them.
I very much appreciate the effort to date, and hope this thread eventually becomes a massive TLDR