NL10 AA faced river raise

Posted 8 years ago

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$0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem iPoker
5 Players

Blinds $0.05/$0.105
UTGHero $13.33
CO $4.70
D $16.95
SB $4.60
BB $17.17
Preflop
5$0.15Hero is UTGAA
Hero raises to $0.30, CO calls $0.30, BTN calls $0.30, 2 folds
Flop
3$1.054T4
Hero bets$0.55, CO calls $0.55, BTN calls $0.55
Turn
3$2.709
Hero bets$1.60, CO calls $1.60, BTN calls $1.60
River
3$7.502
Hero bets$4, CO folds, BTN raises to $11.40


Villains: CO 89/0 in 20 hands.Weak player.
BTN:19/14 3b:3 in 653 hands.He has nitty post flop stats too but I tanked a lot OTR.How would you play this hand?Is playing bet bet bet in a multiway pot overplay?
Turlock

Last Post 8 years ago by

Turlock

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Posted 8 years ago
Pre: Standard

Flop: Seems OK, we can probably go larger for value here though.

Turn: Betting again seems good to me, we are going to be up against full houses on occasion but I do think there is value to be had in continuing to bet here. I like your sizing on the turn as we want to keep Tx, if we go large now there is a possibility that one or more of your opponents can fold a ten.

River: River is pretty close here, we should be good here a ton so I like betting again for value. Hands like Tx, maybe JJ if villain opted to play it cautiously can call us down here. When We get raised though everything is different. We have triple barrelled on a fairly dry board so we have shown a lot of strength here. The chances of someone bluffing here is pretty damn slim and I can't see any hand that vllain plays this way that is value raising that we are ahead of so I think we have a reluctant fold on our hands. I would expect to see a hand like TT that has slowplayed here very often.
Posted 8 years ago
I thought so but I saw myself folding similar hands like this on rivers lately.Maybe it's just an illusion but I don't get this much action on rivers often time.They usually call with stuff has SDV and fold unimproved hands.A4s,TT,99,44 would play exactly this way I assume.I don't think he has enough bluffs here to bluff catch but I was thinking if they might raise this river for value with worse hands like JJ,QQ?
Posted 8 years ago
I think it's very unlikely many people are raising JJ/QQ on the river here. It can't be ruled out completely but I think it's very unlikely.
Posted 8 years ago*
I like the way the hand was played by betting all 3 streets. I can't find a bluffing range for him here that makes sense and I wonder if he would do this with 9T trying to get value from JT-AT. If we include those hands then we have 60% equity against this range (small value range) - JJ-99,A4s,T9s,54s,T9o, which we are easily getting.

If we take out T9 then its an easy fold. Its a difficult one to call. I'd probably have folded in game.
Posted 8 years ago
I like it up to the river. I do think you could add maybe $1 to your bet for value assuming lots of Tx will call from CO and some Tx will call from BTN.

When raised this is a fold. Villain can't really have a bluff after calling flop and turn unless he's turning made hands into bluffs which i don't think you'll see often from 19/14 10nl players. This will be TT/99 a majority of the time.
Posted 8 years ago
If you folded the river I like it. 10NL players are never bluffing when they take this line.

Only thing I would do differently is slightly larger bets on all streets because of the fish in the CO. This is where most of your profit comes from in poker, 89/0 players are about as good as it gets.