50nl JTo

Posted 7 years ago

I decide to call with some backoors and overs as my opponent gives up on most turns, turn cb 20%. So when he c/c I know he's doing this with a decent amount of his range but he's going to be weak. So I tried to exploit that with a pot sized bet. However he's a fissh so is this bad or did I just get unlucky to be up against a super fish?

iPoker - €0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 269.68 BB (VPIP: 24.95, PFR: 20.36, 3Bet Preflop: 11.17, Hands: 515)
Hero (BB): 65.48 BB
UTG: 78.52 BB (VPIP: 34.44, PFR: 14.44, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 95)
MP: 184.9 BB (VPIP: 38.96, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 2.94, Hands: 78)
CO: 139.76 BB (VPIP: 25.96, PFR: 21.82, 3Bet Preflop: 12.83, Hands: 1,032)
BTN: 110.4 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 22.31, 3Bet Preflop: 13.10, Hands: 380)

Hand Conversion Powered by WeakTight Poker Hand History Converter
$0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem iPoker
6 Players

Blinds$0.25/$0.506
UTG QuentinOuld $39.26
UTG+1 milkboy11 $92.45
CO baui20 $69.88
D LINKoln90 $55.20
SB evergreen356 $134.84
BBHero $32.74
Preflop
6$0.75Hero is BBTJ
4 folds, evergreen356 raises to $1.50, Hero calls$1
Flop
2$3.25439
evergreen356 bets $2.10, Hero calls$2.10
Turn
2$7.452
evergreen356 checks, Hero bets$3.60, evergreen356 calls $3.60
River
2$14.655
evergreen356 checks, Hero bets$14.40, evergreen356 calls $14.40
Final Pot$41.04
evergreen356 shows A4

evergreen356 wins $41.04 (net +$19.44)
Hero lost$21.60
Archinator

Last Post 7 years ago by

Archinator

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Posted 7 years ago
500 hands, how many samples do you have his turn bet? Not sure how reliable it will be if its less than 15.

If it's a decent sample, turn bet is fine but not going to bluff the river with the flush draw bricks.

SB is playing 24/20 looks a little reggy than fish to me unless I'm reading the wrong data?
Posted 7 years ago
Hey Harv, good point, I often forget 500 hands on post-flop play isn't too realiable.

But given it's so low over 500, a confidence interval would mean it's pretty likely to be low still. Like the top interval is probably right near or just over where it should be so it's quite likely he's under cbetting (sorry if that's too mathsy, but basically where something is super low or high it's similar to having a fairly low cb with a higher volume of hands).

Stats are reggy, post flop play suggests he's quite passive from showdown. Which thinking about it now probably makes the data more reliable on his turn cbet because he's showndown passive holdings.

Also i should probably point out I didn't realise the straight got there lol. So I think in heinsight I'd bet 3/4 but he actually has a lot of A,3,4,2 and 46s. So maybe it's a bad card to fire.