AJo ZNL10

Posted 8 years ago

Villan is aggro , over hands 100 opening 58% from CO
83 flop cbet
75 turn cbet
33 river cbet

given descrepency on river cbet and bet size, should I consider a fold on the river ?

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $15.37 (153.7 bb)
Hero (BB): $13.61 (136.1 bb)
UTG: $4.85 (48.5 bb)
MP: $30.76 (307.6 bb)
CO: $20.60 (206 bb)
BTN: $9.95 (99.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Ad Js
2 folds, CO raises to $0.30, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.65) Tc Jd 8h (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $0.47, Hero calls $0.47

Turn: ($1.59) 5s (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $1.15, Hero calls $1.15

River: ($3.89) Td (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $3.47, Hero calls $3.47

Results: $10.83 pot ($0.49 rake)
Final Board: Tc Jd 8h 5s Td
Hero mucked Ad Js and lost (-$5.39 net)
CO showed Th Jc and won $10.34 ($4.95 net)
StratoMan

Last Post 8 years ago by

StratoMan

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Posted 8 years ago*
It's a fold for me, the only value hands he has that you beat is KJ QJ and maybe he doesnt always value bet as thin as that , if you can add 12 combos of bluffs maybe KQs AKs AQs i think it becomes a break even call but hes got to be bluffing pretty wide to make it a + ev call. Thing is the turn never even bought a flush draw for him to be barreling so perhaps he barrels some of those draws with less frequency than we may think.
Posted 8 years ago
I may go ahead and 3bet AJo in the BB instead of calling as I don't think it's that strong to play OOP.

As played, I'd be calling the flop and turn and folding river. Regs aren't 3 barrel bluffing often at 10nl nor do they thin value bet KJ on the river.
Posted 8 years ago
stand line is to x/c x/c x/f.
With this river bet size, its def a fold @ micros
Posted 8 years ago
Hate the river but considering every draw missed and we have near to the top of our range this is a call.