A6s 50nl - probe

Posted 8 years ago

Probe fold riv?
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$0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem FullTiltPoker
5 Players

Blinds$0.25/$0.505
UTG keksb10 $50
CO BlackChives $101.70
D R-Infer $175.45
SB alrouz86 $68.20
BBHero $53.80
Preflop
5$0.75Hero is BB6A
1 fold, BlackChives raises to $1.50, 2 folds, Hero calls$1
Flop
2$3.257T3
Hero checks, BlackChives checks
Turn
2$3.25K
Hero checks, BlackChives bets $2, Hero folds
Final Pot$5.25

BlackChives wins $5.10 (net +$1.60)
Hero lost$1.50
w34z3l

Last Post 8 years ago by

w34z3l

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Posted 8 years ago
IN GENERAL, If T is a blank, then a probe to me is a must, I'm probably close to 100% in these spots. Even with the K, he will call if he has one and probably fold most everything else. (A few hands picked up some equity.) But here, the K hits his "pfr, ch flop" range reasonably well, so it's probably more borderline. He could have Ax or baby PP and you'll get it through; it really depends on his fold to probe stat.

But you have reads on him? Cuz I have some V's that are (like me I suppose) a lock to probe, so otf I'm checking back lots of hands I will call 2 streets with. Vs those guys I'm checking back most every Tx.

If you haven't seen it yet, somewhere @w34z3l talks about turn probes. (It might have been in his review of MilfG, in which case it won't be easy to find.)
Posted 8 years ago
Looks fine.

We cannot lead this turn, check raising would be too spew and we have no real equity.

This flop might be good to check raise on if we faced a bet with the back door draws however.
Posted 8 years ago
Probably an ok spot to x/r flop if villain fires.

He checks back though so this is really easy turn probe bet. Having any kind of equity is not important since we are generating automatic profit at these limits. Not to mention we actually have A-high so possibly the best hand anyway.