NL10z QQ

Posted 8 years ago

Pre is standard for me vs UTG but I guess I could 3bet vs probably fish. As played flop is easy snap. Turn pot is odd change of pace but it does help size for river jam so maybe messed up a bit on the flop.

I make the call and river he pots again broadly. He has KK+, all the sets, but very little 5x, no straights but he also has missed spades, JJ, Tx maybe? Can we call here with weakish overpair. Do we actually do better not flatting the turn?

PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

Hero (BTN): $10.65
SB: $21.07 (VPIP: 23.40, PFR: 23.40, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 47)
BB: $10.95 (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
UTG: $7.47 (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
MP: $13.45 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
CO: $10.00 (VPIP: 31.51, PFR: 23.61, 3Bet Preflop: 5.71, Hands: 77)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has Qs Qd
UTG raises to $0.30, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.30, fold, fold

Flop : ($0.75, 2 players) 5s 7d Ts
UTG bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

Turn : ($1.75, 2 players) 5h
UTG bets $1.67, Hero calls $1.67

River : ($5.09, 2 players) 3d
UTG bets $4.86, ?
ArtyMcFly

Last Post 8 years ago by

ArtyMcFly

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Posted 8 years ago
I'm thinking utg zoom is going to be tight mostly but obviously harder to tell after so few hands. My default setting for villain would be 'tight OR from UTG' and I would also flat this.

A splayed I look at the river this way; I beat AT which most likely would pot turn and river anyway and I beat JJ which just might but still unlikely for that bet sizing.

I can make a nitty fold here with little info and make a note of the betting and board etc.

Posted 8 years ago
Folding is unlikely to ever be a big mistake. One pair hands facing three streets of aggression don't come out on top an awful lot.

Not sure I agree with @Pwll about AT always betting 3 streets here at these stakes. I find the majority of players will only go for two. This makes it much easier to get away.

Villain's river sizing is polarised as well, if he is betting AT I doubt he's make it this size so I'd fold.
Posted 8 years ago
My bad, I meant to write, '...would most likely not pot turn and river...' Doh!

Sorry guys.
Posted 8 years ago
Close-ish but I think we're close enough to the top of our range to make the call on a paired board when draws miss.

Posted 8 years ago
I am 3-betting here for sure preflop. I don't hate calling but I would be reasonably sure 3betting has a higher EV than calling. As played I think this is a pretty standard call down. Are we going to be beat here? Sure, on occasion but we have an incredibly under-repped hand and I think folding is not really an option. With some information on the villain here we could start looking at taking a different line and making an exploitative fold but readless I feel this is a call.
Posted 8 years ago
The turn and river sizing is pretty scary. Call turn, fold riv. I've got trips and boats that beat his triple-barrel range, but I think I sigh-fold one pair with QQ/JJ/Tx at 10NLz. QQ is pretty close though. With a read, it could be a standard call, because many villains will bomb with jacks, because they aren't thinking about your range, they're just thinking "I still haz overpair".