NL10 Tony bet

Posted 8 years agoEdited 8 years ago


This chap has been quite odd nothing standard, small bets normally mean weak and has folded to very small raises. But he seems positionally aware and 3bets me alot when he has position on me but again he has open shoved 50bb pre flop. Very active player probably 40-50 vpip at a guess, he also doesnt top up his stack to 100BB so suspected whale. (Cant say much though I usually play 4nl)

My question is flat the river or get it all in? I re raise each street small amounts due to him folding alot to them by the turn I am thinking about Value, River I am thinking his raise screams KJ but would he limp KJ pre..i doubt it. I also thought he could have the bottom end of the straight and talked my self into a call.

TonyBetPoker Hand #23041638: Hold'em No Limit (€0.05/€0.10 eur) 2016/04/19 21:04:57 GMT
Table 'Garland I' 6-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: justurb (€9.86 in chips)
Seat 2: Nosbarg (€15.61 in chips)
Seat 3: 1loveTony (€9.05 in chips)
Seat 4: Mosar3P7 (€8.52 in chips)
Seat 5: daveo171 (€13.11 in chips)
Seat 6: sisko (€11.69 in chips)
Mosar3P7: posts small blind €0.05
daveo171: posts big blind €0.10
*** HOLE CARDS ***

sisko: calls €0.10
justurb: folds
Nosbarg: folds
1loveTony: folds
Mosar3P7: folds
daveo171: checks [8d Js]

*** FLOP *** [6s 7d Th]
daveo171: checks
sisko: bets €0.10
daveo171: raises €0.20 to €0.30
sisko: calls €0.20

*** TURN *** [6s 7d Th] [9h]
daveo171: checks
sisko: bets €0.10
daveo171: raises €0.50 to €0.60
sisko: calls €0.50

*** RIVER *** [6s 7d Th 9h] [Qs]
daveo171: bets €1.46
sisko: raises €2.43 to €3.89
daveo171: calls €2.43
*** SHOW DOWN ***
sisko: shows [Ts 8c] (a straight, Ten high)
daveo171: shows [8d Js] (a straight, Queen high)
daveo171 collected €9.34 from pot
Turlock

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Turlock

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Posted 8 years ago
Hah well going from what I've seen of these guys, I think your raise is fine here hah. It's literally only KJ that beats us.

The min bets usually mean they have something, but pretty weak. KJ seems a bit outside of that. I don't see many min bets with hands like that.
I see them with weak pairs or weak top pairs. Nice hand buddy.
Posted 8 years ago
Hi mate! pff only call in river? i like jam push here, because villain can have a 8x and i am sure that he going call with 8x, only loose vs KJ and is very illogical that villain can call in flop/turn with KJ, pff maybe KhJh and is very dificult and we are winning many more times, you need extract value of your hand, I think only call here is a big mistake
Posted 8 years ago
I'd prefer a lead on the turn once you make your hand, especially if he's only been putting in small bets because the money added to the pot by the checkraise will be relatively small and the risk of him checking back is super high.

On the river click the all-in button. If he somehow got to the river with KJ by betting flop calling a checkraise then betting turn and calling another checkraise then damn he's earned this pot. The other 99.9% of the time your shove gets called by an 8x or worse and you love life.
Posted 8 years ago
Just call flop. If you want to raise make it much bigger. Villain is going to call 20c if he has anything on this flop.

Turn lead! Bet like pot, checking means we often get go the river in a tiny pot with the nuts v a fish!

River call and shove likely a similar EV, idm just shipping as it's a fish.
Posted 8 years ago
The flop raise is probably ok.Not sure how often this player is folding though.

On the turn I'm leading 100% with a straight. There's plenty of players who will shut down even with sets and two pair once the four straight comes, but they will call your value bet. It's fortunate that he made a ham fisted min bet stab to allow you to raise.

River should be a shove. He must have more random 8x combos than KJ once we get to this point.