NL25 AQo

Posted 8 years agoEdited 8 years ago

Hi,
I'd like to give a technical opinion on this hand:

http://www.pokerhandreplays.com/view.php/id/7630618

Opponents is regular

After the open raise,when the flop comes monotonous i decide to plan the hand perfmorming a 3barrel for three reasons:

1) On this board i think I can make trouble different combo ( over pair, top pair, over pair as JJ-TT will probably not 3bet preflop vs UTG open but be limited to flat.

2) Equity and blocker

3) Take values from different broadway that have J-K-or Q spades that could reverse when it comes down another spades on board.


But When the river is A I found myself in an uncertain situation and in game I thought it appropriate check my value and reassess if oppo had bet and according to its size deciding to fold or call.

This is my first post on this forum, I hope to find good advice, hello!

fergrberger

Last Post 8 years ago by

fergrberger

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Posted 8 years ago*
Bet bigger OTT, we have most likely 30% equity and it is a great card to get villain to fold a PP. 50% is just not going to get it done OOP. River is probably close, I don't think anyone at 25nl is going to bluff raise you here so I would go for a 30% value bet to try and get Kx to call maybe even a pp. They probably won't bet all the time as a bluff facing a check either. Obz fold to a raise OTR if yo udo bet Cheeky

Welcome to the forum Smile
Posted 8 years ago
Thank!!
Posted 8 years ago
Well played hand.

The turned K is an obvious barrel card but we have plenty of outs against villain's range.

River is interesting once the flush misses. Betting really small for thin value should be profitable as villain should have plenty of showdown value and can easily put you on a bare As
Posted 8 years ago
I like your line overall here for sure. Standard open obviously, with the nut flush draw and overcards we have a very easy C-bet. I like your sizing here as well on the flop, no need to go large at all on this type of board texture.

The K is an excellent card for us to barrel. I think we can probably go a little larger here after we get called on the flop to really maximise our fold equity against a lot of the underpairs that villain can show up with here. Hands like 77/TT/JJ type hands. I'm not sure if villain folds these though, especially if they have the flush draw also so the larger bet may not accomplish much more.

River is potentially a small value bet. It's very difficult to see how we are beat here unless it's by a hand like A9/AK or maybe some sort of flopped two pair like 89s. Sets seem unlikely as I would have expected villain to be more aggressive on earlier streets with a hand this strong on such a draw heavy board. I don't hate checking the river by any stretch but we have have missed a little bit of value here by not betting.