thetallpaul

Pre standard. Flop not great and maybe should check but I felt there was so many draws that could continue and every card on the turn I hate so bet for protection and value. Turn sucks. Call one more?

PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

BTN: $10.39 (VPIP: 22.92, PFR: 20.55, 3Bet Preflop: 7.00, Hands: 260)
SB: $22.88 (VPIP: 20.83, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 24)
BB: $11.41 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
Hero (UTG): $10.00
MP: $22.95 (VPIP: 21.05, PFR: 15.79, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 19)
CO: $10.00 (VPIP: 17.73, PFR: 12.87, 3Bet Preflop: 1.77, Hands: 354)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has Ac As
Hero raises to $0.35, MP calls $0.35, fold, fold, fold, fold

Flop : ($0.85, 2 players) Qh 3c Jh
Hero bets $0.55, MP raises to $1.10, Hero calls $0.55

Turn : ($3.05, 2 players) 6h
Hero checks, MP bets $1.45, ?

Last Post 8 years ago by

Turlock

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https://www.pokervip.com/thread/view?forum=poker-strategy&slug=nl10z-aa-4&nav=575f0f1ed390439d578b45c6

Think I'm going ahead and folding the turn once the FD completes. I feel we are hoping they are just button clicking as they are never value betting worse (well a 21/16 is not).

Even for the odds I'd fold the turn, would be calling if we had the Ah.

Considering the positions, UTG vs MP for a 3.5bb raise pre, his range should be fairly tight. That means it won't often include stuff like KT T9. That means initially there will be less bluffs for him than in spots with wider ranges but it also means that nearly all the draws he raises will be flush draws. I would expect many players to not raise TP here so I expect you're losing to most of his value range on the flop and most of his entire range on the turn so I would fold.

Think villain probably only raises combondraws and 2pair+ here tbh, I don't think many 10nl players will make raises here with a random flush draw. I don't have checking this OOP, we get two streets still from villains calling range and lose less v his sets/two pair.

Calling turn would be quite massively -EV

Call flop, probably fold turn especially when flush completes. On safer turn card we might be able to call turn and fold river, but the spot is close enough at these limits that we are not making that much money either way.

Checking the flop might work against a player who is raising a lot of flops but this guy doesn't look as if he's the type.

As played folding turn looks standard when the flush draw comes in. I doubt villain has much more in his draw range than four combos of T9s and flush draws. Everything else we're dead against.

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